How did I get here? No strategy. I lay myself before the court and plead guilty as charged. Despite all my study, I stepped on the court and played against my opponent, trying out moves on the fly. My defense was terrible, my offense was even worse. But I had a lot of energy! Looking back at my performance over all on June and July, there are some good takeaways.
I was patient with myself. Even when I fell, I got right back up. Switching from court trial, to basketball, to chess metaphor, I tried different openings, some offensive, some defensive, to try and gauge my opponent. And just like in chess, I got beat over and over again. I have a lot of faith in abilities. I am confident that I can and will win this game. Now, all the mistakes…
I set out to reinvent the wheel. I wanted to “discover” forex anew, as if nothing I read mattered. I threw technical analysis out the window, got rid of my Bollinger Bands, RSI, and volume indicators. I just looked at candlesticks, changing the time frames repeatedly, and making a decision based on where I thought it was going. Fundamentals? Nope.
I took small profits when I was worried about reversals, and I stuck around when in the negative, hoping for reversals! Yes, I cut profits early, and left positions open to reach the stop losses; backward AF. I promise it felt so right though.
Instead of only 2 trades a week, as I did with my papertrading for MONTHS, I would go with my gut, jump out and jump right back in. Basically, I did everything I read was wrong to do. Most devastatingly, I acted on emotion. So, with all that being said, it is time to be the professional I have meditated on being for almost 2 years now. I knew time would fly, and I feel the pressure to get this thing right.
I started reviewing Mario Singh’s 17 Proven Currency Trading Strategies. I also visited his website for the 1sttime. I like the guy’s resume for sure. One thing I did right in the past couple of weeks is limit my focus to one pair – USDJPY. What I did not do was study. Tonight, studying trade with Japan officially begins.
Going forward, I’m taking Mario’s advice in regards to having a specific strategy that tells me what to do; when to enter, when to exit. This is a direct attempt to remove the emotion out of my trading. Having experienced it, and felt the pain in my pocket, I have an emotionalized desire to keep my emotions out of my business.
What’s the strategy? Oh, I’m coming up with it right now. So, let’s look at other good things that came out of the past 2 months. I am much more comfortable on the mobile trading app. I can flip from MT4 to Oanda easily, compare spreads with other currency pairs, do some quick analysis, and calculate position size with relative ease. I’m built for day- and swing-trading. 75% of my trades are closed out before the day’s out, and I like that.
I’ll continue trading USDJPY. I will also maintain the 4% limit of risk. That takes care of everything except entering and exiting. “We are how we trade, and we trade how we are.”
Fade the Break – No indicator, straight technical. Identify the support/resistance level, enter when candle’s shadow hits the level, but doesn’t close to break it. Bet that it won’t break it, 1:1/1:2. Use M30/H1 timeframes.
Trade the Break – No indicator, close above resistance or below support (breakout candle). SL is ½ the range of the previous support/resistance levels. TP is still 1:1/1:2. Follow the momentum.
Trading the News – Rule of 20 – If deviation is >20%, trade in that direction. 0.5% for PMI and .2% for interest rates.
That’s enough for now. There’s plenty to start studying to make next week an exercise in self-discipline. I’ll start with reviewing the charts, identifying the current support and resistance levels, then I’ll get to the news. It’s just really beginning, n’est pas?